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Avalanche Radar · Q2 2026

Avalanche Ecosystem Radar

Avalanche ecosystem radar (Q2 2026 curator set): seven protocols, one structured diligence pass — not a TVL leaderboard.

Generated May 17, 2026Source pull May 17, 2026Methodology v1.0

Protocols

7

All scored, 6 high confidence

AVAX TVL

$796.3M

Aave V3 leads ($331.1M)

30d Fees

$81.1M

Aave V3 leads ($74.0M / 91%)

High Confidence

6

1 low: Kite (TVL data gap)

Executive Summary

Selected for strategic relevance to Avalanche ecosystem Q2 2026 — curated spotlight, not a comprehensive TVL ranking. Composite scoring across 7 curator protocols; strongest signals this pass: Aave V3, Grove Finance, Blackhole. Confidence mix — high: 6, medium: 0, low: 1. This is ecosystem intelligence for operators, not investment advice.

Category Spotlights

Within-category signals

These are not broad market winners. Each spotlight is scoped to its category and the curated Q2 2026 set.

DEX

blackhole

Blackhole leads the DEX bucket in this curator pass (61.2/100, confidence high).

Dexs

pharaoh-v3

Pharaoh V3 leads the Dexs bucket in this curator pass (55.2/100, confidence high).

Lending

aave-v3

Aave V3 leads the Lending bucket in this curator pass (73.8/100, confidence high).

Onchain Capital Allocator

grove-finance

Grove Finance leads the Onchain Capital Allocator bucket in this curator pass (65.7/100, confidence high).

Prediction markets / agentic infrastructure

kite

Kite leads the Prediction markets / agentic infrastructure bucket in this curator pass (37.5/100, confidence low).

RWA

opentrade

OpenTrade leads the RWA bucket in this curator pass (55.8/100, confidence high).

SoFi

arena-socialfi

Arena SocialFi leads the SoFi bucket in this curator pass (36.8/100, confidence high).

Protocol Diligence

Score breakdowns

Composite scores are model-assisted and dimension-weighted. Confidence reflects data completeness, not endorsement.

Aave V3 logo
#1Rank

Aave V3

Lending · aave-v3

Core DeFi liquidity plumbing for Avalanche borrowers and suppliers.

Composite

73.8

high confidence

Dimension Scores

Real Usage Traction

raw 9.0 · weight 20

Real usage / traction: Usage proxy from fees/deployment.

18.0 / 20

Liquidity Economic Activity

raw 7.8 · weight 15

Liquidity & economic activity: Avalanche TVL from ingestion.

11.7 / 15

Fees Revenue Value Capture

raw 9.7 · weight 10

Fees / revenue / value capture: 30d fee aggregate from DefiLlama fees adapter (may be multi-chain).

9.7 / 10

Growth Trend

raw 2.0 · weight 10

Growth trend: 30d TVL change -18.7%.

2.0 / 10

Product Ux

raw 7.5 · weight 10

Product & UX (category baseline): Category baseline for Lending; reduced when manual TODO backlog is high.

7.5 / 10

Token Business Sustainability

raw 7.3 · weight 10

Token & business sustainability: Token AAVE with market data when present.

7.3 / 10

Security Risk Profile

raw 8.5 · weight 10

Security & risk posture: Heuristic from 1 audit record(s), Immunefi bounty, mixed team disclosure, and data-quality penalties.

8.5 / 10

Avalanche Ecosystem Fit

raw 8.5 · weight 10

Avalanche ecosystem fit: Contracts on Avalanche + category alignment with ecosystem priorities.

8.5 / 10

Narrative Strength

raw 1.0 · weight 5

Narrative / social signal: Twitter/social proxies only — GitHub excluded from scoring.

0.5 / 5
Grove Finance logo
#2Rank

Grove Finance

Onchain Capital Allocator · grove-finance

Curator-selected strategic exposure for Q2 2026 ecosystem narrative.

Composite

65.7

high confidence

Dimension Scores

Real Usage Traction

raw 7.6 · weight 20

Real usage / traction: Usage proxy from fees/deployment.

15.3 / 20

Liquidity Economic Activity

raw 7.5 · weight 15

Liquidity & economic activity: Avalanche TVL from ingestion.

11.3 / 15

Fees Revenue Value Capture

raw 7.6 · weight 10

Fees / revenue / value capture: 30d fee aggregate from DefiLlama fees adapter (may be multi-chain).

7.6 / 10

Growth Trend

raw 6.0 · weight 10

Growth trend: 30d TVL change 0.4%.

6.0 / 10

Product Ux

raw 6.0 · weight 10

Product & UX (category baseline): Category baseline for Onchain Capital Allocator; reduced when manual TODO backlog is high.

6.0 / 10

Token Business Sustainability

raw 4.0 · weight 10

Token & business sustainability: No liquid token signal.

4.0 / 10

Security Risk Profile

raw 6.5 · weight 10

Security & risk posture: Heuristic from 0 audit record(s), no active bounty, doxxed team disclosure, and data-quality penalties.

6.5 / 10

Avalanche Ecosystem Fit

raw 8.5 · weight 10

Avalanche ecosystem fit: Contracts on Avalanche + category alignment with ecosystem priorities.

8.5 / 10

Narrative Strength

raw 1.0 · weight 5

Narrative / social signal: Twitter/social proxies only — GitHub excluded from scoring.

0.5 / 5
Blackhole logo
#3Rank

Blackhole

DEX · blackhole

Trading and liquidity venue critical for AVAX DeFi depth.

Composite

61.2

high confidence

Dimension Scores

Real Usage Traction

raw 5.9 · weight 20

Real usage / traction: Usage proxy from fees/deployment.

11.9 / 20

Liquidity Economic Activity

raw 5.0 · weight 15

Liquidity & economic activity: Avalanche TVL from ingestion.

7.5 / 15

Fees Revenue Value Capture

raw 5.3 · weight 10

Fees / revenue / value capture: 30d fee aggregate from DefiLlama fees adapter (may be multi-chain).

5.3 / 10

Growth Trend

raw 6.0 · weight 10

Growth trend: 30d TVL change 1.1%.

6.0 / 10

Product Ux

raw 7.0 · weight 10

Product & UX (category baseline): Category baseline for DEX; reduced when manual TODO backlog is high.

7.0 / 10

Token Business Sustainability

raw 6.0 · weight 10

Token & business sustainability: Token BLACK with market data when present.

6.0 / 10

Security Risk Profile

raw 8.5 · weight 10

Security & risk posture: Heuristic from 2 audit record(s), Code4rena bounty, pseudonymous_with_track_record team disclosure, and data-quality penalties.

8.5 / 10

Avalanche Ecosystem Fit

raw 8.5 · weight 10

Avalanche ecosystem fit: Contracts on Avalanche + category alignment with ecosystem priorities.

8.5 / 10

Narrative Strength

raw 1.0 · weight 5

Narrative / social signal: Twitter/social proxies only — GitHub excluded from scoring.

0.5 / 5
OpenTrade logo
#4Rank

OpenTrade

RWA · opentrade

Tokenized fund/RWA conduit for regulated capital on Avalanche.

Composite

55.8

high confidence

Dimension Scores

Real Usage Traction

raw 4.4 · weight 20

Real usage / traction: Usage proxy from fees/deployment.

8.9 / 20

Liquidity Economic Activity

raw 6.8 · weight 15

Liquidity & economic activity: Avalanche TVL from ingestion.

10.1 / 15

Fees Revenue Value Capture

raw 3.3 · weight 10

Fees / revenue / value capture: 30d fee aggregate from DefiLlama fees adapter (may be multi-chain).

3.3 / 10

Growth Trend

raw 5.0 · weight 10

Growth trend: Growth trend unknown.

5.0 / 10

Product Ux

raw 7.0 · weight 10

Product & UX (category baseline): Category baseline for RWA; reduced when manual TODO backlog is high.

7.0 / 10

Token Business Sustainability

raw 4.0 · weight 10

Token & business sustainability: No liquid token signal.

4.0 / 10

Security Risk Profile

raw 8.5 · weight 10

Security & risk posture: Heuristic from 1 audit record(s), no active bounty, doxxed team disclosure, and data-quality penalties.

8.5 / 10

Avalanche Ecosystem Fit

raw 8.5 · weight 10

Avalanche ecosystem fit: Contracts on Avalanche + category alignment with ecosystem priorities.

8.5 / 10

Narrative Strength

raw 1.0 · weight 5

Narrative / social signal: Twitter/social proxies only — GitHub excluded from scoring.

0.5 / 5
Pharaoh V3 logo
#5Rank

Pharaoh V3

Dexs · pharaoh-v3

Trading and liquidity venue critical for AVAX DeFi depth.

Composite

55.2

high confidence

Dimension Scores

Real Usage Traction

raw 6.0 · weight 20

Real usage / traction: Usage proxy from fees/deployment.

12.0 / 20

Liquidity Economic Activity

raw 5.2 · weight 15

Liquidity & economic activity: Avalanche TVL from ingestion.

7.9 / 15

Fees Revenue Value Capture

raw 5.4 · weight 10

Fees / revenue / value capture: 30d fee aggregate from DefiLlama fees adapter (may be multi-chain).

5.4 / 10

Growth Trend

raw 4.0 · weight 10

Growth trend: 30d TVL change -6.7%.

4.0 / 10

Product Ux

raw 7.0 · weight 10

Product & UX (category baseline): Category baseline for Dexs; reduced when manual TODO backlog is high.

7.0 / 10

Token Business Sustainability

raw 4.0 · weight 10

Token & business sustainability: No liquid token signal.

4.0 / 10

Security Risk Profile

raw 6.0 · weight 10

Security & risk posture: Heuristic from 1 audit record(s), no active bounty, anonymous team disclosure, and data-quality penalties.

6.0 / 10

Avalanche Ecosystem Fit

raw 8.5 · weight 10

Avalanche ecosystem fit: Contracts on Avalanche + category alignment with ecosystem priorities.

8.5 / 10

Narrative Strength

raw 1.0 · weight 5

Narrative / social signal: Twitter/social proxies only — GitHub excluded from scoring.

0.5 / 5
Kite logo
#6Rank

Kite

Prediction markets / agentic infrastructure · kite

Agentic / prediction infrastructure aligned with Avalanche L1 experimentation.

Composite

37.5

low confidence

Dimension Scores

Real Usage Traction

raw 2.0 · weight 20

Real usage / traction: Usage proxy from fees/deployment.

4.0 / 20

Liquidity Economic Activity

raw 0.0 · weight 15

Liquidity & economic activity: TVL missing — liquidity inferred from token mcap proxy.

0.0 / 15

Fees Revenue Value Capture

raw 0.0 · weight 10

Fees / revenue / value capture: Fees unavailable.

0.0 / 10

Growth Trend

raw 5.0 · weight 10

Growth trend: Growth trend unknown.

5.0 / 10

Product Ux

raw 6.0 · weight 10

Product & UX (category baseline): Category baseline for Prediction markets / agentic infrastructure; reduced when manual TODO backlog is high.

6.0 / 10

Token Business Sustainability

raw 6.0 · weight 10

Token & business sustainability: Token KITE with market data when present.

6.0 / 10

Security Risk Profile

raw 9.5 · weight 10

Security & risk posture: Heuristic from 2 audit record(s), Code4rena bounty, doxxed team disclosure, and data-quality penalties.

9.5 / 10

Avalanche Ecosystem Fit

raw 7.0 · weight 10

Avalanche ecosystem fit: Contracts on Avalanche + category alignment with ecosystem priorities.

7.0 / 10

Narrative Strength

raw 0.0 · weight 5

Narrative / social signal: Twitter/social proxies only — GitHub excluded from scoring.

0.0 / 5
Arena SocialFi logo
#7Rank

Arena SocialFi

SoFi · arena-socialfi

Curator-selected strategic exposure for Q2 2026 ecosystem narrative.

Composite

36.8

high confidence

Dimension Scores

Real Usage Traction

raw 2.5 · weight 20

Real usage / traction: Usage proxy from fees/deployment.

5.1 / 20

Liquidity Economic Activity

raw 0.0 · weight 15

Liquidity & economic activity: Avalanche TVL from ingestion.

0.0 / 15

Fees Revenue Value Capture

raw 0.7 · weight 10

Fees / revenue / value capture: 30d fee aggregate from DefiLlama fees adapter (may be multi-chain).

0.7 / 10

Growth Trend

raw 4.0 · weight 10

Growth trend: 30d TVL change -8.0%.

4.0 / 10

Product Ux

raw 6.0 · weight 10

Product & UX (category baseline): Category baseline for SoFi; reduced when manual TODO backlog is high.

6.0 / 10

Token Business Sustainability

raw 6.0 · weight 10

Token & business sustainability: Token ARENA with market data when present.

6.0 / 10

Security Risk Profile

raw 6.0 · weight 10

Security & risk posture: Heuristic from 1 audit record(s), no active bounty, anonymous team disclosure, and data-quality penalties.

6.0 / 10

Avalanche Ecosystem Fit

raw 8.5 · weight 10

Avalanche ecosystem fit: Contracts on Avalanche + category alignment with ecosystem priorities.

8.5 / 10

Narrative Strength

raw 1.0 · weight 5

Narrative / social signal: Twitter/social proxies only — GitHub excluded from scoring.

0.5 / 5

Risk Register

Methodology risks and data gaps

This is part of the report, not a legal footer. It shows where the scoring is strongest and where the data is thin.

high

Curated spotlight — not exhaustive coverage

This report evaluates seven strategist-selected protocols. Absence from the list is not a negative signal.

medium

Cross-chain fee/TVL attribution

DefiLlama fee aggregates may include non-Avalanche activity when protocol detail endpoints fail. Treat economics as directional.

medium

kite

Kite: incomplete market telemetry

Protocol detail missing on DefiLlama — TVL/growth may be under-reported until slug mapping is fixed.

Aggregate Data Gaps

  • Monthly active wallets/addresses requires a delegated analytics connector (Nansen, Flipside, Dune+) — Snowtrace helpers only approximate contract traffic.
  • DefiLlama miss — coverage absent as of 2026-05-17; relying on Snowtrace + curator-supplied data only.

Methodology

Methodology

The source methodology is rendered directly from the frozen publication artifact.

Avalanche Ecosystem Radar — Agent Methodology (CAIS)

Use this skill when running Phase B1 ingestion + Phase B2 synthesis for the curated Q2 2026 Avalanche protocol set.

Framing (non-negotiable)

  • Report title mindset: "Selected for strategic relevance to Avalanche ecosystem Q2 2026"
  • This is not a comprehensive TVL ranking or "top dApps" list.
  • GitHub may appear as a footnote only — never a scored dimension.

Curated universe (7)

KeyProtocolCategory
aaveAave V3Lending
arenaArenaSocial / SocialFi
kiteKitePrediction / agentic
groveGrove FinanceInstitutional lending
opentradeOpenTradeRWA
pharaohPharaohDEX
blackholeBlackholeDEX

Scoring rubric (100 points)

DimensionWeight
realUsageTraction20
liquidityEconomicActivity15
feesRevenueValueCapture10
growthTrend10
productUx10
tokenBusinessSustainability10
securityRiskProfile10
avalancheEcosystemFit10
narrativeStrength5

Confidence (high | medium | low) is separate from score — reflects data completeness, not quality of protocol.

Agent team (B2 pipeline order)

  1. ecosystemMapperAgent — curator framing + universe
  2. dataAgent — numeric scoring from ingestion JSON
  3. productAgent — UX baseline notes (category heuristics in v1)
  4. categorySpecialistAgent — within-category spotlights (not cross-category winners)
  5. tokenBusinessAgent — token/treasury narrative constraints
  6. riskAgent — structured risk register
  7. avalancheFitAgent — AVAX deployment / subnet relevance
  8. redTeamAgent — confidence haircuts, methodology challenges
  9. xReportEditorAgent — executive summary + X thread + table prompts

Commands

cd scripts/ecosystem-radar
npm install

# B1 — fetch curated ingestion
npx tsx bin/fetch.ts --chain avalanche \
  --protocols arena,kite,aave,grove,opentrade,pharaoh,blackhole \
  --out data/avalanche-curated-$(date +%F).json

# B2 — synthesize report
npx tsx bin/synthesize.ts --in data/avalanche-curated-$(date +%F).json

Valid output contract

B2 report JSON must include: executiveSummary, protocolAssessments[] (score + confidence + explanations), categorySpotlights[], aggregateDataGaps[], risks[], xThreadDraft, visualTableSuggestions[], agentSummaries.

Future connectors (B3)

  • DefiLlama protocol detail slug repair (fix null AVAX TVL)
  • Nansen / Flipside for MAU
  • Manual curator fields: audits, team disclosure, bug bounty

Frozen Q2 2026 publication · Data fetched May 17, 2026 · Next: Q3 2026

Disclosure

CAIS Avalanche Ecosystem Radar — curated Q2 2026 set. Scores are model-assisted with explicit data gaps; verify on-chain before acting.

Built with CAIS

Avalanche ecosystem intelligence · Q2 2026 · structured for operators.

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